FXUS66 KMTR 302142
AFDMTR
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
142 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 141 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
- Pleasant, warm and dry weather continues through the next week
- Minor coastal flooding directly along the bayshore for the San
Francisco, San Pablo, and Monterey Bays through Sunday
- Hazardous beach conditions due to an increased risk of sneaker
waves and rip currents for Pacific Coast beaches through Monday
&&
.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 141 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
(This evening through Saturday)
Pleasant weather continues with warm afternoons and chilly mornings.
High clouds continue to drift over the Bay Area and Central Coast
which should result in a pretty sunset. Temperatures remain 10 to 15
degrees above normal today and again on Saturday. Temperatures look
to warm a degree or two on Saturday compared to today but this
doesn't result in too many differences. The majority of the Bay Area
(excluding the South Bay) will be in the 60s on Saturday. The
Central Coast and South Bay will be warmer, in the upper 60s to mid
70s. The warmest locations look to be in the Southern Salinas Valley
where places like King City and Bradley stand a chance of reaching
76/77 degrees. For anyone wondering about records, San Jose has a
shot at tying their record (71) while the warmest locations in the
interior Central Coast fall short of their records. King City's
forecast high of 77 is impressive for winter, but, the daily high
temperature record for 1/31 is a whopping 85 degrees in 1976. For
Salinas, the forecast has them reaching 75 degrees whereas the
record high is 79 degrees in 1976. Heading north, the downtown San
Francisco climate site is expected to only reach 63 degrees with the
record high being 74 degrees in 2015. We may see a few record highs
threatened on Saturday but all in all that should only be at a
handful of sites. It really just depends on if you're north or south
of the South Bay.
For anyone taking advantage of the unusually warm weather and
heading to the coast, a Beach Hazards Statement remains in effect
through Monday morning. There is an elevated risk of rip currents
and sneaker waves - remember never turn your back on the ocean!
There is additionally a Coastal Flood Advisory in effect along the
SF Bay Shoreline and Monterey Bay Shoreline for morning high tides
on Saturday and Sunday. Any flooding that occurs will be minor and
will nowhere as consequential as the coastal flooding experienced in
early January. See the BEACHES section below for more information.
&&
.LONG TERM...
Issued at 141 PM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Over the last few days we've discussed the potential for light
rain/drizzle across northern Sonoma County thanks to a shortwave
trough passing through. These chances have evaporated to almost
nothing with only a 10% chance of drizzle across the far left corner
of Sonoma County remaining Sunday night. Any and all rain chances
have been pushed well north of us and it is dry as a bone for the
foreseeable future. There is the potential for rain to return around
February 10th but confidence is low at this time. Models have
consistently been showing rain returning at the very end of their
runs for the last few weeks without it panning out. Suffice it to
say, we need models to both maintain the trend of rain around the
10th as it gets closer in time and for more ensemble members to
forecast accumulating rain before forecaster confidence that rain
will return increases.
While the shortwave trough won't bring us any rain, it will allow
temperatures to cool Sunday and Monday thanks to a weakening of the
ridge. Temperatures will drop into the 60s for most of the CWA with
the exception being the Salinas Valley. High temperatures across the
Salinas Valley will be cooler, but, they will still be in the low
70s. Temperatures rise again Tuesday with highs in the upper 60s to
upper 70s as upper level ridging restrengthens. Abnormally warm
temperatures continue Wednesday and Thursday before a slight cool
down next weekend. Morning temperatures persist in the upper 30s
(coldest locations) to 40s/50s across the majority of the region.
Otherwise, the forecast for the upcoming week remains similar to
what we saw this week. Warmer than usual, drier than usual, and
locally foggy particularly along the San Pablo Bay, the Delta, East
Bay Valleys, and North Bay Valleys.
&&
.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 928 AM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
VFR conditions have returned to all terminals this morning and will
continue to be so through early Saturday morning. Generally light
offshore flow this morning will become onshore by early to mid
afternoon before easing after sunset. There is a moderate
probability for fog at KSTS early morning on Saturday. These
conditions are forecast to improve after about 17Z Saturday with VFR
conditions then anticipated regionwide.
Vicinity of SFO...VFR.
SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.
Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR.
&&
.MARINE...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 333 AM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
Seas will continue to abate through tomorrow to become moderate.
Gentle to moderate northerly/offshore breezes will prevail through
Saturday. Hazardous marine conditions return Sunday into Monday
as seas build to become rough for the inner waters and outer
waters and northerly breezes increase to become fresh to strong.
Conditions improve Tuesday.
&&
.BEACHES...
Issued at 333 AM PST Fri Jan 30 2026
Hazardous beach conditions will continue through Monday at all
Pacific Coast beaches. Long period westerly swell will bring an
increased risk for sneaker waves and strong rip currents with
breaking waves of 14 to 19 feet. Remember: stay off of jetties,
piers, rocks, and other waterside infrastructure, remain out of
the water, and never turn your back on the ocean!
&&
.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Monday morning for CAZ006-505-
509-529-530.
Coastal Flood Advisory until noon PST Sunday for CAZ006-506-508-
529-530.
PZ...None.
&&
$$
SHORT TERM...Kennedy
LONG TERM....Kennedy
AVIATION...RGass
MARINE...Sarment
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Prepared by Boulder-Creek.com Weather at: Fri Jan 30 14:30:02 PST 2026
From the National Weather Service
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