Technical NOAA Weather Discussion

FXUS66 KMTR 302029
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1229 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New BEACHES...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 103 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

 - Another day of persistent fog and stratus in the North Bay 
  (Today/Sunday).

 - Gusty offshore winds across the North Bay interior Wednesday.

 - Hazardous beach conditions through Wednesday.

 - King Tides arrive December 2 - 7.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 103 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
(Today and tonight)

High clouds make life for the meteorologist a little difficult this 
morning, as it blocks the low level clouds that are being 
observed in the North Bay, East Bay, and San Francisco region. The
question for today, is, you guessed it, much like yesterday and 
pertains to if or when will the clouds clear out around there. 
Guidance favors perhaps a few hours earlier today, perhaps the 
early afternoon hours instead of the mid to late. Given that, 
opted to go with slightly higher temperature forecast than 
yesterday's observed temperatures for the N Bay and surrounding 
areas. Highs will still be below normal there by about 0 to 10 
degrees, while the rest of the region is closer to normal for this
time of year. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 103 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
(Monday through Saturday)

The forecast remains on track for the extended period, with the 
first feature being stratus clearing out for the North and East Bays 
Monday and Tuesday afternoon. An inside slider remains on tap for 
midweek, which will bring breezy conditions to the interior North 
Bay hills Wednesday morning. Conditions will dry out as well in 
terms of minRH values; however, no major fire weather concerns are 
expected. Beyond that, the slider looks to dig south, which should 
allow for upper level ridging to build towards us. Dry weather 
remains in the forecast with near seasonal to slightly warmer than 
normal high temperatures expected for the end of the week. 

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 954 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

Varying conditions from LIFR to VFR this morning depending on 
where you are. Low ceiling and visibilities will gradually improve
to VFR by midmorning or early afternoon, earlier than yesterday. 
Weak to occasionally moderate offshore winds persist in the higher
terrain across the region and is mixing down to the terminals at 
times this morning. Onshore winds are expected to return this 
afternoon for a brief period, then become light and variable late 
tonight and offshore early tomorrow morning across the Bay Area. 
Low clouds are forecast to return to the Bay Area terminals 
(potential for fog in and around KSTS) early Monday morning with 
an earlier clearing time than today. Lower confidence for the 
Monterey Bay terminals for low ceilings and/or visibilities. Any 
low clouds and/or fog that does develop are expected to clear 
earlier on Monday as offshore flow may persist throughout much of 
the day, especially across the Bay Area terminals. 

Vicinity of SFO...IFR to MVFR conditions persist at KSFO, yet 
conditions are forecast to return to VFR later this morning, just 
before or around noon. Onshore winds are also expected by this 
afternoon before becoming variable overnight. Offshore winds are 
then forecast to return early Monday morning with the potential 
for IFR/MVFR conditions. As offshore flow prevails early Monday 
morning and into the afternoon, we are expecting an earlier 
clearing time compared to today. 

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR at KMRY and LIFR at KSNS, yet 
expecting to improve to VFR here in the next few hours. Onshore 
winds are forecast to increase slightly this afternoon and then 
ease overnight. Low probability for IFR to sub-IFR conditions 
early Monday morning, likely around sunrise and shortly there 
after. 

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Friday)
Issued at 954 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

High pressure will remain located off of the Oregon coast
maintaining northerly breezes through the week. Northerly flow
will increase throughout the day today and gradually diminish into
Monday. Winds will be locally stronger over the outer waters and
coastal jets. Wave heights and swell energy increase early this
week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 1228 PM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

Hazardous beach conditions will continue into Tuesday evening with a 
very energetic surf zone. A beach hazards statement remains in 
effect for the coastline from Sonoma County to Monterey County 
through 10 PM PST Tuesday evening. Breaking waves 10 to 14 feet, 
with long lulls of 10 to 20 minutes or more between largest sets can 
be expected. Sneaker waves can unexpectedly run significantly 
farther up the beach than normal, including over rocks and jetties. 
Rip currents are typically more frequent and stronger in the 
vicinity of jetties, inlets, and piers.

RGass

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement through Tuesday evening for CAZ006-505-
     509-529-530.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for Pt Arena to 
     Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PST this evening for Pt Pinos to 
     Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PST Monday for Pigeon Pt to Pt 
     Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...RGass
MARINE...RGass

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Prepared by Boulder-Creek.com Weather at: Sun Nov 30 12:30:02 PST 2025
From the National Weather Service