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NWS Technical Weather Discussion


FXUS66 KMTR 020651
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
1151 PM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1145 PM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

 - Unsettled weather through early Thursday morning with cool, 
   gusty, and rainy conditions. 

 - Drier weather moves in mid Thursday, with a slight increase in 
   temperatures. 

 - Offshore flow and the warming trend continues into the weekend. 

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 1145 PM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026
(Tonight through Friday)

A cold front passes through the region tonight, which will spread 
showers across the region from north to south. Ahead of its arrival, 
breezy southeasterly winds are being observed with gusts up to 20-30 
mph for much of the region, while higher points of terrain see gusts 
up to 45 mph. Winds eventually become northwesterly after the 
frontal passage and will remain breezy into Thursday morning. In 
terms of rain amounts for the very near term, now through Thursday 
morning, the mountains and hills of the Bay Area and Santa Cruz 
County will see up to 0.25" while valley locations are closer to 
0.05-0.15". For the rest of the Central Coast amounts look to range 
from 0.0-0.15", perhaps up to 0.25" in the Santa Lucia Range. Drier 
weather works in behind the frontal passage, with high
temperatures making it into the 60s for interior valley 
locations, and in generally in the 50s along the immediate 
coastline and in higher points of elevation. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 1145 PM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026
(Friday night through next Wednesday)

High pressure builds into the region on Friday and holds through the 
weekend. This will lead to warm and dry conditions, accompanied with 
offshore winds through the weekend. On Friday, the winds will be the 
strongest, as the pressure gradients tighten over northern 
California. The strongest winds will be found over the mountains, 
with gusts of 40 to 50 mph in the North Bay Interior Mountains with 
gusts of 30 to 40 mph in the East Bay Hills, Eastern Santa Clara 
Hills, and Santa Cruz Mountains. These winds ease Friday evening, 
with lighter winds expected for the weekend. 

A pattern change looks likely early next week. Cooler weather
would return along with the 20-40% chance for rain, favoring the
North Bay. 


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1145 PM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

A mix of MVFR/VFR continues as a cold front pushes through the North 
Bay into the Bay Area at time of TAF issuance. The cold front is 
expected to push south of the Monterey Bay terminals before sunrise. 
Gusty west/southwest winds ahead of the cold front will become 
west/northwest behind the front and remain elevated much of the 
remainder of the TAF period. Once the MVFR cigs lift, expect VFR for 
the remainder of the day and evening with dry air moving in behind 
the front.

Vicinity of SFO...
Mix of MVFR/VFR cigs with scattered light rain until the the cold 
front passes south after midnight. Gusty west/southwest winds will 
shift and become west/northwest behind the front with VFR conditions 
through the remainder of the TAF period.

SFO Bridge Approach... 
Similar as SFO

Monterey Bay Terminals... 
Mix of MVFR/VFR cigs with scattered light rain until the front 
clears south of the terminals late in the overnight period. Once the 
MVFR cigs lift, expect VFR conditions to persist through the 
remainder of the TAF period. Winds will breezy and west/northwest in 
the post frontal environment before sunrise.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Tuesday)
Issued at 1145 PM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Winds have begun to veer and become fresh and northwesterly  as
the cold moves through with scattered light rain, especially
across the northern waters. Expect widespread hazardous
conditions to develop overnight and continue through Friday with
strong northerly breezes and rough seas. Northerly breezes
diminish and seas abate by the weekend.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Friday for Pt Arena to Pt 
     Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm-SF Bay N of Bay 
     Bridge.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Thursday to 3 AM PDT Friday for 
     Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pt Pinos to Pt 
     Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 AM PDT Friday for Pt Arena to Pt 
     Reyes 10-60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Thursday to 9 AM PDT Friday for 
     Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...JM
MARINE...JM

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Prepared by Boulder-Creek.com Weather at: Thu Apr 2 04:30:03 PDT 2026

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Revised: 29 Mar 2008 09:53 -0800 GMT (Pacific)