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NWS Technical Weather Discussion


FXUS66 KMTR 011219
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
519 AM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

...New AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 102 AM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

 - Cooler conditions continue through Thursday.

 - Light rain  today through early Thursday morning.

 - A warming trend begins on Friday and continues into the 
   weekend.   

 - Offshore flow returns Friday, with 40-50mph wind gusts expected 
   for interior North Bay mountains.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 102 AM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026
(Today and tonight)

The next round of beneficial rain will move into the North Bay 
during the morning hours and will gradually spread south the Central 
Coast by the late afternoon and evening hours.  Amounts have come up 
since the last forecast, with the North Bay mountains having the 
potential to see up to 0.25-0.75", up to 1.0" for the interior 
ranges, and around 0.10-.25" of rain for the valleys. The San 
Francisco Peninsula to Santa Cruz County is forecast to see around 
0.1-.30" with up to 0.5" for the Santa Cruz Mountains. Interior East 
and South Bay valleys will be close to 0.05-0.15" of rain, while the 
Diablo Range and the Berkeley and San Leandro Hills may see up to 
0.5". For interior Monterey and San Benito counties, amounts will be 
lower and in the 0.0-0.15" range while along the coast and into the 
Santa Lucias amounts from 0.10-0.30". If traveling today, be mindful 
that the roadways may be slick.

In addition to the rain, southwesterly winds will gradually pick up 
and become breezy with gusts up to 20-30 mph, up to 40 mph in areas 
of higher terrain.  Winds are expected to become west-northwest 
winds expected by late Wednesday into early Thursday morning. 

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 102 AM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026
(Thursday through Tuesday)

Conditions begin to dry up on Thursday, as cold front exits the 
region and the parent upper low moves into the Intermountain West. 
High pressure builds into the eastern Pacific which will bing drier 
into the region. The pressure gradient between these two system will 
tighten on Friday, bringing warming temperatures and gusty offshore 
winds. The strongest winds will be across the North Bay interior 
mountains and East and South Bay mountains with 40-50mph wind gusts 
expected for interior North Bay mountains. Warmer weather continues 

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 503 AM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

Lower confidence forecast given pre-frontal conditions through
this afternoon - hit or miss showers - followed by a fropa
tonight. A few VCSH early this morning around SF Bay then a brief
break. Another pre-frontal wave will bring a few scattered showers
and lower cigs this afternoon. Those fade with the sunset and the
a fropa will bring more widespread precip initially N Bay 03-05Z
then SF Bay 04-07Z and terminals south 08-10Z. Latest timing
suggest some minor impacts to this AM/PM rush, but Thurs AM rush 
less likely. 

Vicinity of SFO...MVFR VCSH lingering into the AM rush(around
14Z). VCSH return early this afternoon with -shra for evening
rush.  Steadier precip 04-08Z. Onshore winds ramp up after 20Z.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO. 

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through this evening. MVFR after 06Z
with precip returning. 

&&

.MARINE...
(Today through Monday)
Issued at 503 AM PDT Wed Apr 1 2026

A passing cold front today and tonight will bring unsettled
weather and stronger winds. A fresh to moderate breeze will
develop through the day north of Pigeon Point initially before
spread south tonight. Strong northerly breezes will develop by
Thursday afternoon and persist through Friday with moderate seas
building to become rough with widespread hazardous conditions.
Winds and seas ease Friday night and over the weekend.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 3 AM PDT Friday 
     for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 
     NM-Pt Reyes to Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm-SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM Thursday to 3 AM PDT Friday for 
     Mry Bay-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 
     10-60 NM-Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...MM

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Prepared by Boulder-Creek.com Weather at: Wed Apr 1 06:30:02 PDT 2026

From the National Weather Service


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Revised: 29 Mar 2008 09:53 -0800 GMT (Pacific)